Sudan - A Week of Tensions

On August 13, 2026, at 18:02:14 UTC, Sudanese media reported a dramatic increase in tensions between the army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). This development marks a new peak in the ongoing conflicts in the country.

The RSF, a paramilitary group that has played an increasingly important role in Sudanese politics in recent years, has carried out several attacks on border towns and military installations in recent days. The latest attack on the town of Geissan in Blue Nile state, which was launched from Ethiopian territory according to the RSF and local authorities, has further exacerbated the already tense situation.

The political landscape in Sudan is characterized by a variety of actors, including the army, the RSF, and various political groups. Recent developments, including the announcement by the RSF-appointed governor of Kordofan, Hamad Mohammad Hamad Khalifa, that he is resigning and defecting from the RSF, point to increasing polarization and instability.

The momentum in Sudan remains volatile with a value of 15/100. Compared to the previous day, the value has changed by 0 units, indicating ongoing uncertainty and instability. The composite risk gauge shows no change compared to the previous day, meaning that tensions and conflicts in the country remain at a high level.

In the coming days and weeks, it will be important to closely monitor developments in Sudan to better understand the changing political and military landscape. The international community is likely to come under pressure to play a role in resolving the conflict, while the Sudanese population continues to suffer from the effects of ongoing violence and instability.

On August 12, 2026, at 18:04:57 UTC, local sources reported an increase in tensions in Sudan. The paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) attacked the border town of Geissan in Blue Nile state. This attack is just one of many in a series of events that have further escalated the situation in Sudan in recent days.

Recent events in Sudan have been marked by a series of attacks and counterattacks between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese army. For example, drone attacks on the capital Khartoum have been reported, carried out by the RSF. The Sudanese air defenses were able to intercept some of these drones over el-Obeid.

The humanitarian situation in Sudan has further deteriorated due to the ongoing fighting. According to the UN refugee agency, 2,500 people have been displaced due to the fighting in Blue Nile state. The Pope has appealed for peace in Sudan and prays for the victims of the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

The economic situation in Sudan is also tense. There are reports of possible financing from the Belarus Development Bank. This could be an important development for the country's economic future.

Tensions in Sudan remain high, with a momentum of 15/100, indicating an ongoing volatile situation. With a MODEL_DAY_DELTA_POINTS of 0, the situation remains unchanged compared to the previous day. This suggests that the composite risk gauge has neither eased nor tightened compared to the previous day. The future of Sudan remains uncertain, and the international community will continue to closely monitor developments in the country.

On August 11, 2026, at 18:05:09 UTC, international news agencies reported a deterioration of the situation in Sudan. Recent events in the country have led to a worsening of the humanitarian situation, particularly in the West Darfur region, where nearly 6,000 people were displaced in one day due to clashes.

The Sudanese army, led by General Al-Burhan, has initiated unannounced talks on national dialogue, aiming to pave the way for a comprehensive Sudanese dialogue conference. This step is seen as a positive signal for a solution to the conflict, but it is accompanied by skepticism from civil society.

The economic situation in Sudan is also tense. The country expects financing from the Belarusian Development Bank, which is seen as an important step towards stabilizing the economy. The international community, including the Pope, has called for peace and a ceasefire in the country.

The momentum assessment for Sudan remains at 15/100, indicating a volatile situation. Compared to the previous day, the situation has not changed significantly, with a MODEL_DAY_DELTA_POINTS of 0. This suggests that the composite risk gauge has neither improved nor worsened compared to the previous day.

Overall, the situation in Sudan remains complex and challenging. The international community must continue to work towards a peaceful solution to the conflict, to overcome the humanitarian crisis and promote economic stability.

On August 10, 2026, at 18:04:53 UTC, a series of developments occurred in Sudan, further exacerbating the country's political and military situation. The Sudanese army repelled a major RSF attack in West Darfur, according to the governor. These events are part of a larger crisis that has been affecting Sudan for a long time.

The security situation in Sudan remains tense. There are reports of military clashes and attacks on civilians. The Sudanese army has been trying to control the situation, but the challenges remain enormous. The international community has expressed concern over the situation and called for a peaceful resolution.

The economic situation in Sudan is also precarious. The war has severely damaged the country's infrastructure and economy. The population is suffering from the consequences of the war, and the humanitarian situation is critical. The international community has offered aid to Sudan, but the implementation of this aid is often hindered by the tense security situation.

The momentum trend in Sudan is currently neutral, with a change of 0 points compared to the previous day. This means that the situation in the country remains highly tense and no significant improvements or deteriorations have been recorded. The composite risk gauge remains at a high level, underscoring the ongoing challenges in the country.

In summary, the situation in Sudan remains very tense and uncertain. The international community must continue to pressure the parties involved to achieve a peaceful resolution. The Sudanese people have the right to peace and stability, and it is the responsibility of the international community to support this.

On August 9, 2026, at 18:01:59 UTC, the situation in Sudan was described as extremely tense. The years of violence and ongoing fighting between the various factions have plunged the country into a deep crisis. According to UN reports, over 8 million children have been forced out of school, and nearly three-quarters of all schools have been affected by the conflict.

The security situation in Sudan remains extremely precarious. There have been reports of military attacks and clashes between the various factions. The Sudanese army recently repelled a major RSF attack in West Darfur, according to the governor of West Darfur. However, the situation remains extremely uncertain, and the population is suffering from the ongoing fighting.

The economic situation in Sudan is also extremely tense. The ongoing fighting and instability have severely impacted the country's economy. The development of the country has been severely hindered by the conflict, and the future of a whole generation is at risk. According to UN Secretary-General Mohammed, Sudan is losing a whole generation, and the situation is extremely alarming.

The current momentum in Sudan is indicated by a value of 15/100, which suggests an extremely volatile situation. Compared to the previous day, the situation has not changed significantly, with a change of 0. The composite risk gauge has changed by 0 units compared to the previous day, which means that the situation remains extremely tense.

Overall, the situation in Sudan is extremely alarming. The ongoing fighting, instability, and economic hardship have plunged the country into a deep crisis. It is extremely important that the international community works towards a solution to improve the situation in Sudan and secure the future of a whole generation.